Tag Archives: Copenhagen

Copenhagen Cash

US Secretary of State Hillary Clinton has flown into Denmark – presumably on her Nimbus 2000 and told the delegates at the Copenhagen climate change/cash for the G77 meeting, that  her country was prepared to “work towards mobilising  $100 billion a year”  for developing countries.

The wording of that statement is very clever. It does not say that the USA will contribute $100 billion per year. Neither does it suggest that the Americans will be contributing anything . They will work towards mobilising. That’s good! That’s very good.

Here is the full quote: “In the context of a strong accord in which all major economies pledge meaningful mitigation actions and provide full transparency as to those actions, the US is prepared to work with other countries towards a goal of mobilising $100 billion a year to address the needs of developing countries.”

Genius! The African states are thinking that they’ve scored a decent amount of “wedge” and  the Americans know that the New Faith of Global Warming only has limited “legs”. The most important thing is that President Obama will be able to fly in like a latter-day Saviour and appear to have engineered a  famous victory.

We have to bear in mind that all these Copenhagen agreements, “strategies”  and handouts designed to deal with climate change will not be in place until after 2012, which is when the obligations of the Kyoto Protocol expire.

Today’s state of play in Copenhagen is confused  because the developed and developing nations remain at odds over who should cut emissions, how deep the cuts should be, and how much cash should be handed to the poorest nations.

Gordon Brown has arrived early so as not to be overshadowed by the American Presidential machine when it hits town. Gordon Brown  is the political equivalent of “dad-dancing”. It’s embarrassing but you cannot help but watch and cringe.

He has once again slipped into his Mittyesque Churchillian skin:

We must summon up the greatest level of ambition”, followed by  “The success of our endeavours depends on us forging a new alliance”  and   “In these few days in Copenhagen which will be blessed or blamed for generations to come, we cannot permit the politics of narrow self-interest to prevent a policy for human survival.”

The technical term for that sort of rhetoric is political “sincero-talk” . Many of us prefer to think of it as meaningless bollocks.

Surprisingly, he didn’t mention anything at all about “fighting them on the beaches”  but then again, Germany’s Angela Merkel is about to speak . Best not to rock das boot.

Outside the meeting,  the Danish Riot Squad will continue to throw tear gas and beat the crap out of protestors and sundry activists who believe that actions speak louder than words. They cannot fail to speak louder than some of the words we’ve heard this week.

Think about this: The politicians are supposed to know how doomed we really are.

So, if we are THAT doomed, why are they behaving like children and why do they all appear to be so laid back about the whole thing. The urgency with which they address their taxpayers appears to be totally missing from their deliberations.

Surely the polluted triple spectres of self-interest, opportunism and procrastination have no place in discussions which are supposed to decide the future well-being of the human race.

Or perhaps they know something that we don’t – or something that we’re not meant to know.

Global Warming Roots

All species expand as much as resources allow and predators, parasites, and physical conditions permit. When a species is introduced into a new habitat with abundant resources that accumulated before its arrival, the population expands rapidly until all the resources are used up.”
    
– David Price, Energy and Human Evolution

Then they die.

The Copenhagen conference of Climate change has degenerated into chaos.

The G77 states, led by African countries want money to “help them deal with climate change”. (They will be handed $3 billion in the vain hope that they stop deforestation.)

The Anthropogenic (Man made) Global Warming (AGW) faction is slightly more muted nowadays than the AGW “deniers”. Polls show that the public at large is divided about 50-50: one half believing that AGW is a myth.

Destroyed climate data seems to tell the world that the Global Warming Mullahs will do absolutely ANYTHING to prove their case and, as personified by Al Gore, they seem to think that their case can be proved by using selective data. (By the way, when is Al Gore going to return his Nobel Prize?)

The Americans are dragging their feet because it is likely that in reality, they know that the “Man-Made” bit of  Man-Made Global Warming is a fiction.

The Danes’ organisational skills have clearly demonstrated that they may be good at producing bacon but their conference-organising skills would make the Italians blush. There’s nothing less edifying than watching riot police hitting demonstrators with truncheons – that always seems to signify  that somewhere, an argument has been lost.

Professors from MIT are appearing on television and, quite frankly, mocking the whole concept of Carbon Dioxide as ” the Devil”.

In short, the Global Warming cause has been set-back ten years, yet there will be “agreements” but no legally-binding action – which is pointless anyway because there can never be any sanctions should, for instance, a country like China decide to ignore the whole  thing and carry-on ploughing its own lonely industrial furrow.

The civilised murmurings and inaction of Kyoto are just a hazy memory and no doubt another meeting will be organised in another ten years by which time, according to some, we will all be sporting perma-tans and living in  houses on stilts.

It seems that as usual, politicians are attempting to treat the symptom and not the cause. When discussing Risk, one is always looking for the Root Cause. For instance, the Herald of Free Enterprise did not sink just because someone left the doors open. The Root Cause was the fact that because of the company insisting on a too-quick “turnaround” time, the man who was supposed to close the doors was asleep because he had been working solidly for two days. The root cause was the company’s turnaround policy.

9/11 happened because two aircraft ploughed into the Twin Towers but the root cause was American foreign policy.

So what is the root cause of too much Carbon Dioxide in the Earth’s atmosphere? On the face of it, it is the fault of industry, the consumer society, cars, deforestation etc. However the root cause is much simpler. Once you ask yourself WHY are there so many cars? Why do we need to cut down forests in order to grow more cereal crops? Why does China need to produce quite so many goods?

Once we have asked the right questions, the answer is disarmingly straightforward.

The world’s population is growing at a rate of approximately 77 million per year or over 200,000 per day. For instance, during the week of the Copenhagen conference, the world’s population has increased by about 1.5 million.

Although the population growth-rate is on the decrease in many areas, areas such as Sub-Saharan Africa, South and South East Asia, Latin America and the Middle East are experiencing accelerating population growth.(Many G77 members) 

There are now 6.8 billion people on Earth and by 2050, this will increase to over 9 billion. More consumers needing more production, generating more pollutants.

The ROOT CAUSE of Man’s small contribution to Global Warming is population growth.

The solution to the global warming crisis may be as simple as the humble condom.

Copenhagen Crap

Is it something we said?

The Africans walked out – from under the collective banner of the G77 states.

The G77 developing countries, blocked the United Nations climate talks overnight by walking out of several of the key meetings in protest over the failure of wealthy nations to put firm targets on the table under the Kyoto Protocol. (In case you’re wondering how many countries belong to G7 – it is 120. The original G77 was founded in 1964 by the “Joint Declaration of the Seventy-Seven Countries” and was originally a loose coalition of developing countries. The group includes China)

”It is regrettable that we appear to have reached a deadlock on process,” the Climate Change Minister, Penny Wong, said last night. ”But a range of countries are working hard to get these issues resolved.”

The walk-out had been brewing all week but came unexpectedly as ministers arrived to take over the negotiations from officials, indicating that the deep divisions are not going to be resolved easily and currently it looks odds-on that the whole circus will be extended by a few days so that when Obama arrives, there will be something to sign.

The reason for protest by the developing countries is the refusal of the wealthy nations to clearly state they will keep alive the Kyoto Protocol, the treaty that imposes legally binding cuts on their Carbon Dioxide emissions.

The G77 countries have been demanding all week that the wealthy nations agree to a second round of cuts under the Kyoto Protocol before they will agree to a new treaty. As the whole Kyoto exercise was a farce anyway, it is looking increasingly likely that very little will happen in Copenhagen during the next few days. So far there has been a beautiful display of political window dressing, lots of talk and eating but little promised action.

In the intervening 12 years, most developed countries have been studiously ignoring the 1997 Kyoto Protocol and the Copenhagen meeting has the air of “Let’s start again”  about it. The African states are taking the opportunity to help the rich states to salve their collective conscience by relieving them of even more cash. Cash for famines, cash for water, cash for development, cash for Swiss bank accounts and now cash for carbon. They never miss a trick.

There a lots of scientists milling about and as mere increases in temperature have become a bit “passé”, new angles are needed to further panic the world into action. Once again, the scientists have not disappointed

A report prepared specially for the Copenhagen meeting has found growing acidity in the oceans caused by the soaring amount of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. The acidity is irreversible in the short term and it poses an immediate threat to marine life.

The report warns that by 2050, the ocean acidity could increase by 150 per cent.

”This dramatic increase is 100 times faster than any change in acidity experienced in the marine environment over the last 20 million years, giving little time for evolutionary adaptation within biological systems,”

The report, which was prepared under the UN Environment Program and the Convention on Biological Diversity, highlights the link between soaring greenhouse gas emissions, the health of the oceans and the huge potential cost  of reversing the trend.

”Ocean acidification is irreversible on timescales of at least tens of thousands of years, and substantial damage to ocean ecosystems can only be avoided by urgent and rapid reductions in global emissions of CO2.  Attention must be given for integration of this critical issue at the global climate change debate in Copenhagen.” said  Ahmed Djoghlaf, the Head of the Convention on Biological Diversity.

Apparently, the seas and oceans are absorbing about one-quarter of the carbon dioxide emitted into the atmosphere from the burning of fossil fuels and deforestation. As emissions soar, the percentage is increasing.

The only amazing thing about these new reports is that they appear to come out of nowhere and according to the study,  this particular phenomenon seems to be occurring independently of climate change but will no doubt give the African states even more ammunition in their demands for more money to “help them to deal with climate change”.

So yesterday, after a couple of hours, it became clear that the “walkout”  wasn’t really a walkout. Then the talking was going to resume; then it seemed to resume. The problem was that this “talking” was informal and not a proper negotiation. The WRONG kind of talking! So it doesn’t look as if it counted as talking. Confusion reigned.

Some African delegates confirmed that the negotiations would not resume until today (Tuesday) but others were already involved in a meeting. However, technically both factions were correct because there WAS talking but the talking wasn’t negotiation.

This is rapidly developing into a meeting about semantics and procedures. The Danish hosts have called for “informal consultations on major issues requiring political guidance.” It seems that all issues need to be discussed formally, although most discussions are being carried-out over a sandwich and a drink without the benefit of an agenda, stenographers or TV cameras. Chaos rules.

The major stumbling block is that the Africans want to continue-with and develop what was agreed in Kyoto, whereas the Danes want to bring everything together under a new singleagreement which will supercede Kyoto. That gives the impression that the Kyoto Protocol is dead and the handouts to the African states will be re-negotiated – or is that re-discussed? Doubtless, the African leaders will moderate their views soon after the chequebooks appear.

In spite of the logistical and organisational cock-up, there is hope. Gordon Brown is flying in.

Copenhagen Cool

15,000 delegates and officials, 5,000 journalists and 98 world leaders and 1200 limos will be in Copenhagen this week for the biggest Global Warming Synod of all time.

About 150 private jets will be landing and all the hotels are fully-booked. It will be so crowded that some of the jets will have to fly to Sweden to park and then return later in the week to pick up their passengers.

Celebrities, film stars – even Desmond Tutu will be arriving – all want to do their bit for Global Warming – or to put it more accurately, Anthropogenic* Global Warming (AGW).

But there is a cloud on the horizon – because this is the first conference when  not just the methods but the entire purpose of the climate change agenda is being questioned. Leaked emails showing key scientists conspiring to fix data that undermined their case have boosted the sceptic lobby.

The “deniers” are in town. The AGW Atheists. The Global Warming Mullahs believe that Carbon Dioxide (CO2) is the original sin which must be cast out. The deniers disagree.

The deniers say that CO2 is not pollution and that  higher temperatures cause more CO2  and not the other way around. In fact, the Earth is not alone because other planets are warming just like the Earth and there were higher concentrations of CO2 in the atmosphere  prior to the industrial revolution.

Some “truths” are about to be dispelled and much of the pro-AGW propaganda will be exposed.

So what about those icons of AGW, – the fluffy white “endangered” polar bears? The  fact is that the polar bear population has risen from 5,000 in the 1950’s to about 25,000 today. The biggest threat to polar bears was hunting (three hundred killed every year) and not water temperatures. Even if their habitat was in danger from environmental changes, they would probably adapt  – just like their cousin, the brown bear. They would not be photographed looking hungry, floating along on a mini-iceberg. Google: “polar bear iceberg” and you will see how ahead of their time Fox’s Glacier Mints used to be!

So, if it isn’t CO2, what is the biggest contributor to changes in weather patterns? Solar activity has the biggest impact on the global temperature. There are many other factors, among them  the Earth’s orbit, planetary wobble, volcanic activity and even shifts in the Earth’s magnetic field.

The Earth has NOT  been warming over  the last 8-10 years and in fact, may be entering a cooling period. 

This week in Copenhagen, you will notice  less talk of “Man-made” Global Warming and much more discussion on the more general topic of “Climate Change”.  That’s because over 35,000 scientists disagree with the grant-dependent, politically-motivated pseudo-scientists and even some politicians are waking up from their torpor. 

The so-called deniers are not anti-environment, in fact just the opposite.  Hopefully money can now be spent on real environmental problems rather than fictional ones.

AGW is not about the environment, it’s about money, control and big government.

It is also about a decline in journalism and proper reporting. It is almost as if there has been blind acceptance of man-made global warming with very little counter-debate. The only British newspaper which has had the occasional “anti-AGW ” piece is the Daily Telegraph.

The other “proof” of man-made global warming is the other “cold icon” – the glacier. When you see television propaganda on melting glaciers, you usually see a video of the end of a glacier and  blocks of ice breaking off into a melt lake. This is quite normal as all  glaciers are constantly on the move and they usually melt at the front. A glacier is effectively a river of ice. The thing that the media tend not to show is the distance that the glacial valleys extend back up into the mountains. Glaciers can reach for miles with deep ice filling the full width of their valley . The impression normally given is of a single isolated glacier melting away.  Many glaciers are melting but the degree to which the total ice field and associated glaciers are disappearing should be put into perspective. 

Anthropogenic Global Warming (AGW) is a theory and  is an unproven vtheory.  Unfortunately, there have been those who presented AGW as fact, notably, self-publicists such as Al Gore.  Did you know for instance that some of the sequences of melting ice-sheets in his film ” An Inconvenient Truth” were CGI and another sequence was borrowed from the film “The Day After Tomorrow.”

Finally, here are just 15 facts:

1.  In the last eleven years, average annual temperatures have not surpassed those of 1998 

2. Since 1988, average annual temperatures have fallen. 

3. Ocean temperatures have not risen since 2000 when the three thousand  Argo buoys were launched. The buoys even show a slight decrease in ocean temperatures

4. By December 2007 the Arctic ice froze to February levels and  there are now 1 million more sq km of ice than before.

5. The Arctic ice is 20cm thicker than “normal” 

6. All polar bear pods are stable or growing 

7. Mount Kilimanjaro is not melting because of global warming

8. The Antarctic is not “melting”, it is growing in most places, the sloughing off at the edges is normal as the ice mass grows

9. The majority of the Antarctic is 8 degrees below “normal” 

10. The much-publicised  0.7 degree rise in temperatures over the last 100 years has been wiped out by last years below “normal” temperatures 

11. Al Gore’s film has just been declared “propaganda” in a UK court of law because many of the claims could not be substantiated  

12. One of the scientists who originally thought that CO2 preceded the warming has now found with new data that the CO2 rise follows the warming

13. August 2008 was the first time since 1913 there were no sun spots.

14. The Medieval Warm Period was warmer than the 20th century 

15. Many scientists are now predicting 30 years of cooling.

Most scientists agree that the Earth’s weather patterns are cyclical but several publications, including those that are “warmist” have recently written that the natural cycles of the earth may mask AGW. So, even cold can be explained in terms of AGW!  The fact is that our contribution to the Greenhouse Effect (which is real) cannot even be measured.

 
*Man-made

Postman Prat

  • Royal Mail is going to hire 30,000 workers to “help” during the impending strike. Usually the  Post Office hires only an additional 15,000 staff for the Christmas rush. Let us hope that this blatantly provocative gesture by the Royal Mail management does not backfire. Let us also hope that in their haste, they do not forget to run proper background checks on the people that they hire and so keep the number of thieves and terrorists to a minimum. Expensive temporary labour plus the millions in lost revenue, plus the damage to the business does not, on the face of it look like the ideal plan. Adam Crozier, Royal Mail’s boss has taken a leaf out of Rupert Murdoch’s lexicon of nastiness. Remember when there was that big falling out with the print unions? Murdoch had an alternative workforce “ready to go” when the unions objected to modernisation and job losses. Where is that all-powerful print union nowadays? Continue reading Postman Prat